Global Drought Monitor

Overview of the mHM Model

The mesoscale hydrologic model (mHM) is a spatially explicit distributed hydrologic model that uses grid cells as a primary hydrologic unit and accounts for the following processes: canopy interception, snow accumulation, and melting, soil moisture dynamics, infiltration and surface runoff, evapotranspiration, subsurface storage and discharge generation, deep percolation and baseflow and discharge attenuation and flood routing. The detail information about the model can be found here.
mHM
Figure 2: The concept of the mesoscale hydrologic model, mHM. (Samaniego et al., 2010)

What is SMI?

The soil moisture index (SMI) is calculating by estimating the percentile of the soil moisture output from the model. The daily soil moisture is estimated as the average of the soil conditions of the preceding 30 days. Therefore, it represents values that correspond to a time period of 1 month. The SMI is estimated using a non-parametric kernel-based cumulative distribution function based on a 38-year historic soil moisture reconstruction (1982–2019), as described by Samaniego et al (2013).

The classes of SMI are derived using the thresholds of the SMI. These thresholds reflect the occurrence of similar conditions in the past and thus indicate the potential impacts of these conditions. For example, the class of exceptional drought is defined by an upper threshold of 0.02. This implies that the soil moisture conditions were observed in less than 2% of the time within the 60 year reference period at this grid cell and time of the year.
  • Abnormally Dry

    0.3 ≤ SMI < 0.2
    Short-term dry conditions before or after a preceding drought.

  • Moderate Drought

    0.2 ≤ SMI < 0.1
    Damages to crops and pastures possible.

  • Severe Drought

    0.1 ≤ SMI < 0.05
    Losses in crops and pastures are likely.

  • Extreme Drought

    0.05 ≤ SMI < 0.02
    High probability of major losses in crops and pasture.

  • Exceptional Drought

    SMI ≤ 0.02 =
    High probability of exceptional losses in crops and pastures.



Description: The classification of droughts based on the soil moisture index (SMI) (Matthias Zink et al. 2016)

About the Data

A number of meteorological, morphological, and land cover data have been used to estimate the soil moisture. The data were collected from the following sources.

Data Type Data-set name Processed Resolution Developing Institute/ URL
DEM (+ derivatives) Global Multi-resolution Terrain Elevation Data (GMTED2010) 1/512° U.S. Geological Survey (USGS) and the National Geospatial-Intelligence Agency (NGA)
Soil SoilGrids 1/512° Wageningen University
Geology Global Lithological Map (GLiM) 1/512° Institute for Biogeochemistry and Marine Chemistry, KlimaCampus, Universitt Hamburg
Land cover Global Land Cover (GlobCover) 1/512° European Space Agency (ESA), Universit Catholique de Louvain
Leaf Area Index (LAI) Global Inventory Modeling and Mapping Studies (GIMMS) 1/512° monthly climatology Global Land Cover Facility, University of Maryland
Meteorological forcings ERA5 0.25° daily Copernicus Climate Change Service

Contributors

Katie Baldwin

Developer
Undergraduate Student - Princeton University (A.B. Computer Science)

Toma Rani Saha

Developer
Guest Researcher - UFZ Department of Computational Hydrosystems

Pallav Kumar Shrestha

Service Manager, Hydroclimate Team
PhD Researcher - UFZ Department of Computational Hydrosystems

Dr. Oldrich Rakovec

Hydroclimate Team
Scientist - UFZ Department of Computational Hydrosystems

Dr. Stephan Thober

Hydroclimate Team
Scientist - UFZ Department of Computational Hydrosystems

Dr. Luis Samaniego

Hydroclimate Team
Deputy Head - UFZ Department of Computational Hydrosystems

Acknowledgment

We would like to acknowledge the Alexander von Humboldt Foundation for providing the fund to accomplish this research through the International Climate Protection Fellowship (2019, ID = BGD1202252IKS). We would like acknowledge the providers of input data namely U.S. Geological Survey (USGS) and the National Geospatial-Intelligence Agency (NGA) for Terrain Elevation Data; Wageningen University for Soil data; Institute for Biogeochemistry and Marine Chemistry, KlimaCampus, Universitt Hamburg for geological map; European Space Agency (ESA), Universit Catholique de Louvain for land cover data; Global Land Cover Facility for Leaf Area Index (LAI); University of Maryland, Climate Hazard Group (CHG) UC Santa Barbara for precipitation data; and Princeton University for temperature data.

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